February 21, 2021
As I like to remind people, we are not “in the middle” of the COVID-19 pandemic. We’re approaching the end of it.
And we may be closer than we think.
At least that’s the opinion of Marty Makary, a surgical oncologist and a Professor of Surgery at Johns Hopkins. According to this op-ed piece that appeared in the Wall Street Journal, Dr. Makary thinks that the country is “racing to a low level of infection,” and that the virus will be “mostly gone” by April, when we will have achieved functional herd immunity. What has gone unappreciated (and not included in calculations of herd immunity), he writes, is the natural immunity of those who have contracted COVID and did not display any symptoms. He believes that as many as 2/3’s of all Americans have been infected with COVID. And the more people who are infected, the fewer there are left to infect.
Admittedly, it does not appear that Makary has any expertise in infectious disease (he is, after all, a surgical oncologist). That said, it’s nice to fantasize about, you know, going to a restaurant or out to a movie in a couple of months.