March 27, 2019
Yesterday, I blogged about the NCAA basketball tournament, and shared the NCAA’s own statistic that, not only has no one ever officially picked a perfect bracket, the best anyone has ever done is to correctly predict the first 39 games of the 67-game tournament.
The NCAA has announced that someone has actually put together the first-ever perfect bracket through the tournament’s first 48 games. Assuming you have a 50/50 chance of getting each game right (which is a faulty assumption, but let’s go with it for the purpose of this post), the odds of picking a perfect bracket, start to finish, are, according to the NCAA, about 9.2 quintillion to one (by way of comparison, there are about 7.5 quintillion grains of sand on the planet).
40-year-old neuropsychologist Gregg Nigl, a graduate of the University of Michigan (who lives, peculiarly, in Columbus, Ohio) has just 15 games to go.
And he has Michigan winning it all.